The New Zealand Economy

The Kiwidex

Thursday, 14 May 2026

RBNZ survey shows rise in one and two year inflation expectations

RBNZ survey shows rise in one and two year inflation expectations

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Latest14 May 2026, 8:00 am
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The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's latest survey reveals a concerning shift in inflation expectations, with both one-year and two-year forecasts rising as economic sentiment deteriorates. The survey, which captures expectations from businesses and financial market participants, shows increased pessimism about the near-term economic outlook despite some improvement in longer-term inflation projections.

The findings paint a picture of an economy grappling with persistent inflationary pressures in the short to medium term, while also facing headwinds from weakening growth prospects and rising unemployment expectations. This combination of higher inflation expectations alongside broader economic weakness presents a challenging environment for policymakers, potentially complicating the Reserve Bank's monetary policy decisions as it seeks to balance price stability with supporting economic growth.

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